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Episodes
Monday May 12, 2014
Monday May 12, 2014
The more conciliatory tone adopted by Iranian President Hassan Rowhani and progress on the P5+1 talks in Geneva has raised the prospects of a lifting of the punitive sanctions which have been imposed on Iran since 2006. While those negotiations remain at an early stage, there is growing interest amongst multinational organisations about the opportunities that might arise should Iran return to the international fold.
Andreas Carleton-Smith, regional director for the Middle East and North Africa and Henry Smith, senior consultant in the Global Risk Analysis business have made a recent research trip to Iran to assess the prospects for progress. They discuss the mood on the ground and outline the key opportunities and risks should the sanctions be removed.
Friday May 09, 2014
Friday May 09, 2014
Headlines in the coming weeks will highlight the challenges of quelling violence in northeast Nigeria. Elsewhere, India begins to form a government after its marathon election and the global anti-corruption movement gives power to the people.
Wednesday Apr 30, 2014
Wednesday Apr 30, 2014
In the latest podcast from Control Risks, South Africa analyst, Paul Gabriel, discusses the potential outcomes of the upcoming General Election in South Africa at which voters will elect a new National Assembly and new provincial legislatures. The ANC and its tripartite partners aren't expected to lose much ground on the 65% of the vote they secured in 2009, but could these elections have greater significance?
About the Presenter
Paul Gabriel provides political, operational and security risk analysis on South Africa and the East Africa region to a broad range of clients through tailored reports and Control Risks’ subscription services, Country Risk Forecast and PRIME. Paul frequently travels to the region for client and research purposes.
Prior to joining Control Risks, Paul was an analyst with risk consultancy Maplecroft. He worked on political and security risks in sub-Saharan Africa for a number of global corporations, international organisations and government departments. Paul also held a position with the European Commission’s Joint Research Centre monitoring the compliance of countries in sub-Saharan Africa with the Kimberley Process Certification Scheme.
Paul gained an MA in International Conflict Studies from King’s College London, where his work focused on the possibilities of using open source intelligence in the context of conflict early warning and response in sub-Saharan Africa. He holds a first-class Bachelor’s degree in Political Science from the Albert-Ludwigs-University Freiburg.
Friday Apr 25, 2014
Friday Apr 25, 2014
In the latest instalment of Control Risks RiskMap podcast, Charles Hecker and Chris Torrens discuss President Obama's current tour of Asia. They are joined by Senior West Africa analyst, Thomas Hansen, who speaks about the recent significant revaluation of the Nigerian economy and talk to lead Egypt analyst, Lucy Jones, who considers the implications of the impending court case against Muslim Brotherhood followers accused of attacking a police station last summer.
About the presenters
Charles Hecker, Global Research Director
As Global Research Director, Charles Hecker is responsible for shaping Control Risks’ thought leadership on geopolitics, global security, macroeconomics and political risk methodology issues, and their impact on international business. Charles speaks at industry, policy and academic conferences and represents the company’s work to the international media. Charles also contributes to the content and production of Control Risks’ research services and designs and delivers complex, multi-jurisdiction political and security risk consultancy.
Wednesday Apr 16, 2014
Wednesday Apr 16, 2014
In the latest instalment of Control Risks RiskMap podcast, Charles Hecker and Mike Moran consider the implications of the German trade delegation visit to Iran. They also discuss the possibility of an uptick in sectarian violence in Nortern Ireland and are joined by guest analyst Simon Whistler who looks at the latest state of play in Venezuela.
About the presenters
Charles Hecker, Global Research Director
As Global Research Director, Charles Hecker is responsible for shaping Control Risks’ thought leadership on geopolitics, global security, macroeconomics and political risk methodology issues, and their impact on international business. Charles speaks at industry, policy and academic conferences and represents the company’s work to the international media. Charles also contributes to the content and production of Control Risks’ research services and designs and delivers complex, multi-jurisdiction political and security risk consultancy.
Tuesday Apr 15, 2014
Tuesday Apr 15, 2014
In this podcast, Stephen Norris, Control Risks' political and security risk analyst for Thailand considers the likely next developments in the ongoing political turmoil which has stalled investment in the country.
Thailand’s Constitutional Court is due to make its ruling shortly on the petition filed by anti-government senators calling for the removal of Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra following accusations that she violated the constitution by appointing a member of the extended Shinawatra family to a vital security post. At the same time, anti-government protestors are returning to the streets after taking time out for Thai new year and whilst this political impasse goes on, separatist insurgency groups have stepped up their militant activity in the troubled South of the country.
Wednesday Apr 02, 2014
Wednesday Apr 02, 2014
In the latest podcast from Control Risks, Dwight Dyer, political and security risk analyst for Mexico comments on the country’s Oil and Gas reforms and their wider implications, assessing opportunities and risks in the sector for multinational corporations.
About Dwight Dyer
Dwight is a political scientist with broad experience in Mexico and Latin America. As a former Director of Intelligence Analysis for the Mexican National Security Agency, he has expert knowledge of the political, social and security risks in the country. At Control Risks he advises clients on how to manage and mitigate the risks inherent in Mexico, with specialist expertise in the mining and oil and gas sectors.
Friday Mar 28, 2014
Friday Mar 28, 2014
As Ukraine continues to dominate the headlines, Control Risks’ Global Issues analyst, Jonathan Wood, takes a look at the wider geo-political issues surrounding the crisis.
About the presenter
Jonathan Wood leads Control Risks’ strategic analysis practice, which provides analysis and consultancy on global business risks. Jonathan’s substantive portfolio encompasses geopolitical risk, energy security, climate change, business integrity issues, and security, social and reputational risks.
Prior to joining Control Risks, Jonathan evaluated multilateral development bank
procurement policies for consultancy Development Finance International, based
outside of Washington, DC, and worked on defence sector integrity issues at anti-corruption
organisation Transparency International UK in London. Jonathan also previously
worked as a domestic policy analyst for leading US food security organisations
based in Washington, DC, and Boston.
Friday Mar 28, 2014
Friday Mar 28, 2014
In the coming weeks: A deal between Ukraine and the IMF, the prospects for European shale gas, Afghanistan to select Karzai's successor, and elections in Indonesia and India.
Wednesday Mar 19, 2014
Wednesday Mar 19, 2014
Last week saw the removal of Ali Zeidan as Libya's prime minister following a no confidence vote. In his 18 months as leader, the country has seen little progress made on implementing a new constitution, and an uptick in militancy. In this podcast, Geoffrey Howard, Control Risks lead analyst for Libya discusses what the future might hold for the country and for investors.
About the speaker
Geoffrey Howard is Control Risks lead analyst for Libya. Geoffrey has a broad range of experience working in Libya and North Africa with previous roles with a leading Arab trade representative body as well as a senior instructor where he was managing training programmes and economic development consultancy projects for leading Libyan financial institutions in Tripoli.
Geoffrey has a BA in Arabic from the University of Exeter and a distinction for his MSc degree in State, Society and Development at the School of Oriental and African Studies.
Friday Mar 14, 2014
Friday Mar 14, 2014
In the coming weeks, China’s President Xi Xinping makes his first state visit to Europe, ASEAN nations discuss a code of conduct for the South China Sea, and Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas visits Washington amid a US push for diplomacy. This edition of the RiskMap Podcast examines what these events will mean for global businesses.
Friday Mar 07, 2014
Friday Mar 07, 2014
2014 is shaping to be an interesting but highly complex year for Colombia, and for international investors looking at the country. With at least three major elections (legislative and presidential) and the continuing peace negotiations between the government the country’s biggest guerrilla group, the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC), there is plenty potential for positive developments, but also for longer term political and security risk.
Friday Feb 28, 2014
Friday Feb 28, 2014
The coming weeks will see China’s National People’s Congress convene to tackle economic questions and a tax dispute in India will continue to embroil multinational companies.
Wednesday Feb 26, 2014
Wednesday Feb 26, 2014
What has been the Russian response to the fall of former Ukrainian president Viktor Yanukovych – is a military response credible?
How can Ukraine shore up its fragile economy – can the interim government rely on financial support from the IMF, EU or US?
What is the outlook for the country in the run-up to and following elections scheduled for 25 May?
In the latest Control Risks podcast, research director Charles Hecker and senior Ukraine analyst Steven Eke discuss these and other key issues arising from Viktor Yanukovych’s ousting last week.
Wednesday Feb 26, 2014
Wednesday Feb 26, 2014
Sebastian Villyn, one of Control Risks maritime security analysts assesses current trends in maritime terrorism and highlights what he sees as the issues to look out for in the year ahead.