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Episodes
Jul 9, 2015
Jul 9, 2015
6 min
With no successful terrorist attack in Nairobi and Mombasa since May 2014 and al-Shabab being on the back foot in Somalia, it is understandable that some have been quick to dismiss the group. However, measuring the state of al-Shabab by the size of territory under its control or the number of foreign militants is misleading. Rather than signs of terminal decline, changes in al-Shabab’s operating pattern are a potential source of future strength.
Paul Gabriel, East Africa Analyst
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